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Home Business

Recession is a ‘likely’ outcome of tariffs chaos, says JPMorgan CEO

Sarah Taylor by Sarah Taylor
April 9, 2025
in Business
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Recession is a ‘likely’ outcome of tariffs chaos, says JPMorgan CEO
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The CEO of JPMorgan Chase has said Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs are “likely” to spark a recession.

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Jamie Dimon is one of the most prominent voices in corporate America and has regularly been consulted by administrations during times of crisis.

Tariffs latest: US-China trade war escalates

A recession is when there are at least six months of economic contraction in gross domestic product (GDP), the total value of goods and services produced over a specific period.

Appearing on US channel Fox Business, Mr Dimon said: “I think probably [a recession is] a likely outcome.”

“When you see a 2000-point decline [in the Dow Jones Industrial Average], it sort of feeds on itself, doesn’t it,” he continued.

Offering advice for the Trump administration, Mr Dimon called for the US government to make fast progress on trade agreements with other countries.

US-China trade war: Who will blink first?

Could Trump’s tariffs tip the world into recession?

Donald Trump’s 104% tariffs on China – and other levies on ‘worst offenders’ – in effect this morning

“Take a deep breath, negotiate some trade deals. That’s the best thing they can do,” he said. “I’m taking a calm view. But I think it could get worse if we don’t make some progress here.”

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JPMorgan has “lost a couple of bond deals already” as clients overseas have said they would rather do business with local banks, the CEO added.

Mr Trump‘s baseline 10% tariffs came into force on Saturday 5 April and his tougher levies – including 20% for the European Union – were implemented at 5am today.

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China faces the highest tariff of 104% after the US president hiked the rate following a retaliation from Beijing.

Amid escalating fears of a global trade war, markets have struggled in the wake of the tariffs with Wall Street suffering its worst week since 2020 and Asian stock markets tumbling dramatically.

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What a global recession would mean
Chancellor to hold crisis talks with execs

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The US president is showing no signs of backing down though, and minutes after US markets opened showing slight drops today, he posted on his Truth Social platform: “BE COOL!”

“Everything is going to work out well,” he continued. “The USA will be bigger and better than ever before!”

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